Sunday, 19 February 2012

Stagecoach without horses


Stagecoach I believe is familiar for everyone, no matter where you stay in the country somehow sometime you have used their services. Because its such a big Group and it covers bus, coach, and train for all the regions. Basically you will see Stagecoach everywhere. They even cover the North American region and Canada transport. I would say this is a very good business and it benefits themselves, their loyal customers and anybody interested in any investment. Some people will say good transport services are of vital importance to the heart and survival of the city these days and I totally agree. Mega bus. com is one of the coach services run and owned by stagecoach. We often see the advertisement below from their website or elsewhere:

                                                 


Most of the people would say it is a very good deal starting at £1 even though when you book it you have to pay a 50p booking fee, but it is still a very good price for the individuals (working class people, students, etc.). Well, sometimes people would not believe it and they would ask one question, if they charge £1.50 for each journey in total how do they make any money and how are they going to break even? They do this by looking for opportunities where there are a lot of people that need to be moved. Such as in and around large cities and conurbations. This provides a good strategy to keep the buses full which makes them more efficient and improves the profit margin. (bums on seats)


When we look at the Group strategy the firm has a long-term goal on delivering shareholder value through, organic growth in their day to day operations, complementary acquisitions with good returns and targeting to attractive rail franchise opportunities, they seek to improve performance, drive up customer satisfaction, and maintain a long-term efficient capital structure.


Stagecoach started trading at the Main Market (LSE) since 1998, the current market capital is £1,906.89m and it has a recorded 89 major shareholders with a recorded 185 subsidiaries companies across UK, USA and Canada. According to the annual report earnings per share at 2011 has increased to 23.80p (almost 27%) compared to 18.70p in 2010. As the table below shows almost 40,000 individuals hold almost 160,000,000 of ordinary shares and it amounts to 22.2% of total shares, on the other hand 71% of the shares are owned by the banks and varies nominees, the other small percentage of the shares are owned by different organisations. (Investment trusts, etc.) But anybody who owns 3% or more has to be named and listed. Because Stagecoach is a listed plc that means they are able to offer shares to a wide range of potential investors, as a private company has restrictions on the type of purchaser who can be offered shares in the enterprise. Therefore the Stagecoach group could raise any funds they need for further investment easily. On the other hand the payment of dividends are not promised to the investors, thus there are certain risks as well as the share value drop caused by low performance of the company or the macro environment changes.


Analysis of shareholders as at 30 April 2011
Range of holdings
No. of holders
%
Ordinary shares held
%
1 – 25,000
40,249
98.7
42,861,872
6.0
25,001 – 250,000
325
0.8
27,459,025
3.8
250,001 – 500,000
56
0.1
20,366,374
2.8
500,001 – 3,750,000
117
0.3
158,623,083
22.0
Over 3,750,000
38
0.1
470,814,596
65.4
40,785
100.00
720,124,950
100.0
   Classification of shareholders
No. of holders
%
Ordinary shares held
%
Individuals
39,239
96.2
159,875,685
22.2
Other corporate bodies
74
0.2
22,085,965
3.1
Banks and Nominees
1,356
3.3
512,064,798
71.1
Limited companies
103
0.3
21,984,239
3.0
Investment trusts
11
0.0
4,110,309
0.6
Pension funds
2
0.0
3,954
0.0
40,785
100.0
720,124,950
100.0




The current one Stagecoach share price was 264.80p on 17th Feb 2012. The question is how do they make their shares attractive to the investors? On 7th December 2011 Stagecoach announced a £44m double -deck coach investment in new vehicles for budget coach networks (Megabus. com) for expanding the North American and UK operations. As we can see from the graph below when they announced this news the share price went up to 265.40p (from 243.80p on 05th December 2011). This investment could create up to 500 jobs and I think it is really good for society, and it also give these new staff job opportunities and as a result the accumulated savings of the pension fund gets invested in different ways to create a good return for their retirement. 





Because the rising fuel costs and increased living costs shift people from cars to affordable transport buses or trains to make their journeys, this contribution surely makes Stagecoach more profit in the future. The other reason I think Stagecoach attracts the investors is they have a very good strategy, a strong management team and the intangible value of their reputation. However this research on Stagecoach has shown me that they have a very good website that is easy to understand and full of useful information suitable for potential investors. It also make me think about some investment with them in the future.


Sources: FAME Report, London Stock Exchange, Stagecoach investors-relation, Arnold, G.



3 comments:

  1. I agree that stagecoach have a successful model that has the potential to continue growing in size. I do think that there are a few threats to a business like this though.

    If train prices were to decrease then this could steal some customers. I also think that there are alternatives that may occur in the future such as trams and metros.

    ReplyDelete
  2. What do you mean by "if train price were to decrease then this could steal some customers"?

    Regarding "trams" and Metros" do you honestly think any company would ever lay tram lines from say London to Glasgow! or even dig a tunnel for a metro from London to Edinburgh!

    But I do think that maybe in the future there may be Maglev trains like the one they have in Shanghai between the city and the airport.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I think my point was misunderstood.

    You were mainly referring to the £1 deal that stagecoach offer, which takes customers from one city to another. This is cheap but inconvenient for customers and much slower than trains. If train tickets were cheaper than they are now for the same journey then surely more customers would consider travelling to their destination this way. Trains are much quicker and much more comfortable. The tickets do not need to be as cheap as the stagecoach deal and the companies could not afford to make them that cheap. Train companies would need to discover how much customers value convenience.

    When I referred to trams and metros I meant that this was a threat to stagecoach’s main business; local buses that travel through villages and towns. If metros and trams were available for customers in their local vicinities then these again are arguably more convenient options than buses.

    If both of these threats were to occur in the future stagecoach would become a much weaker company and suddenly begin to look like a bad investment.

    ReplyDelete