Sunday 29 April 2012

Dividends or no Dividends

Dividend policy is the determination of the proportion of profits paid out to shareholders. The issue is whether shareholder wealth can be enhanced by altering the pattern of dividends not the size of dividends overall. If dividends over the lifetime of a firm are larger then the value will be greater. The board of directors are empowered to recommend the dividend level but it is the right of shareholders as a body to vote at the AGM whether or not it should be paid. Dividends can only be paid out of accumulated distributable profits and not out of capital. The proportion of after-tax earnings paid as dividends varies greatly between firms, from zero to more than 100 per cent. Some shareholders prefer to have a regular income from shares in the form of dividends, these shareholders tend to be people who have invested their savings and need regular income to supplement their income. Whereas other investors are seeking long-term benefits and want to see their share value increase that can then be sold at some time in the future. Some people believe that firms that pay dividends are less risky because you get some money back each year. This belief is common in the popular press and the dividend value can have some effect on share price. Dividends are hard enough to explain when they occur in isolation, a combination of dividends and the simultaneous raising of new capital is very confusing. Yet the simultaneous or near simultaneous payment of dividends and raising of new capital are common in business.


Dividends do not directly reveal the prospects of the firm, so any message they send may be ambiguous. Prosperous firms may withhold dividends because internal financing is cheaper then issuing dividends and floating new securities. Also dividends do not distinguish well-managed prospering firms from others. Someone who observes an increase in the dividend has no good way of telling whether this is a signal of good or bad times. These are hard to evaluate because its difficult to obtain a measure of unanticipated changes in the levels of dividends, and only unanticipated changes could change the prices of shares. Moreover an increase in dividends could be caused either by an increase in the firms profits (implying higher stock prices) or by the commencement of disinvestment as the firm has fewer profitable opportunities (implying lower stock prices). This is consistent with the observation that no-dividend (or low-dividend) stocks are usually “growth” firms, which are regularly in the capital market, and with the impression that such firms start paying dividends only when the rate of their growth has been reduced.

Miller and Modigliani (M&M) said that dividend policy is irrelevant to share value if a few assumptions are made. These assumptions are: no taxes, no transaction costs, same interest rate for borrowers and lenders, all investors have access to information and investors are indifferent between dividends and capital gains.

But in the real world all these assumptions cost and if there is not enough money left to fund future projects the firm would take money from shareholders through a rights issue and this also cost with admin and legal fees, advertising, underwriting fees, brokerage fees and of course taxes.


                                            Apple Inc
                                            Source: Google finance



To bring us up to date, Apple last paid a dividend in 1995. They have now announced that from 30th September 2012 they will pay a quarterly dividend of $2.65 per share. Was this due to the change in governance rules?. Did the shareholders pressure for a dividend? or did the management get soft-hearted? So it just goes to show that regular dividends are not the always the way to go. I wish I had had the forethought to buy some shares in Apple, but could Apple have now reached a peak in growth and performance.

Ten years ago Apple shares were worth about $10 dollars, now in 2012 after a successful 18 months of sales of Ipad and Iphone they are valued at over $600 dollars. It was revealed that Apple has a cash mountain of $100 billion. Could this be burning a hole in the proverbial pocket? Additionally Apple are to buy back up to $10 billion worth of shares starting in their next financial year. What is the reason for the buy back? Do they want more control over the business? We will just have to wait and see!


Sources: Baker, M. 'A catering theory of dividends'., Easterbrook, F.H. 'Two Agency-Cost Explanations of Dividends', BBC news March 2012.,Google Finance., Arnold, G.

Sunday 1 April 2012

capital structure



Capital structure refers to the way that a company finances its assets through some collection of equity, debt or some other securities. A firms capital structure is then the arrangement or structure of its liabilities. In reality the capital structure may be a highly complex arrangement and consist of many sources. Gearing ratio (or leverage) is that part of the capital employed by a firm which comes from the outside of the business. The Modigliani-Miller theorem forms the basis for modern thinking about capital structure, although it is generally considered to be a purely theoretical system since it disregards many important factors in the capital structure decision making process.

When a company needs to expand or replace some expensive machinery it may not have enough liquid assets and therefore needs to borrow additional finance. Financing a company through borrowing is cheaper than issuing shares. This is because lenders require a lower rate of return than shareholders and the debt can be offset against pre-tax profit thereby reducing the tax bill. The relationship between debt and equity is the gearing ratio, also called leverage.
The two main feature are explained as follows:

The first feature to consider is that, since interest expense is tax deductible, then the more debt used by the firm, the more wealth created via lower tax payments. This is called a tax shield, which has an evident cash value to shareholders, a ready and apparent gain to gearing. As a firm uses more and more debt, the tax shield will become larger and larger, adding value to the firm. the initial value of the firm is the value of the equity, since at zero debt, the firm is financed totally by equity. As debt is added to the capital structure (the debt ratio increases), the value of the firm rises proportionally because of the tax shelter benefit.

The second feature is that risk increases as the firm adds debt to the capital structure. Debt would be very beneficial at low levels, since it is so much cheaper and provides the tax shield. But as large proportions of debt are taken on, the firm begins to be financially distressed by trying to meet interest payment obligations. The more debt the firm adds, the more financially distressed it becomes, less able to service interest expenses for extreme debt levels. Financial distress costs would include higher returns from both creditors and shareholders, as well as costs directly involved with avoiding bankruptcy and costs associated with financial distress and bankruptcy. These costs, at some point, begin to offset the positive effects of the tax shield, and the value of the firm begins to level off, and then to decline.

If the gearing ratio is too high then there is a risk of financial distress so it is better to keep the ratio low. But to obtain the best return it is assumed that there is an optimal level of gearing that could be calculated and maximise shareholder wealth. The problem is what information needs to be used to obtain the this optimum level. Firms would want to use debt, up to the point where the value of the firm is maximized, the optimal capital structure (optimal debt ratio). This is what we would conclude to be a fully rational capital structure decision. Deviations away from this optimal point will result in a sub-optimal capital structure, and the firm would no longer be maximizing shareholder wealth. The idea of maximizing the value of the firm can also be perceived in terms of minimizing the firm's weighted average cost of capital (WACC). As the firm begins to add debt to its capital structure, the WACC falls because the firm is using more of the cheaper form of financing, debt. At some point, however, the WACC will begin to rise as both creditors and shareholders begin requiring ever-increasing returns as risk rises.



Soureces: Arnold, G., Stretcher, R. and Johnson, S. 'Capital Structure: professional management guidance'